Washington Post Only Three Quarters of Trump Supporters Would Vote for Him Again

Who won each group

Groups that candidates won by six or more percentage points

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

President-elect Joe Biden assembled a large plenty coalition of voters in key states to unseat President Donald Trump and become the 46th president of the Us. His successful bid relied on winning margins among young and non-White voters, college graduates, independents and those concerned with racial inequality and containing the coronavirus pandemic.

Voters were concerned almost the economy, the pandemic and racial inequality, according to results from national and state leave polls conducted by Edison Research. In an election marked past anxiety and litigation over voting admission, a strong majority in two battleground states said they are confident their votes volition be counted fairly.

About a third of voters said the economy was the most of import consequence in their vote for president, the results indicated. Roughly ii in 10 said the coronavirus or racial inequality were their top bug, and smaller shares named crime or health-intendance policy.

Follow the latest on Election 2020

Of President Trump's voters, virtually 6 in 10 said the economy was their most important issue. Roughly a third of erstwhile vice president Joe Biden'southward voters said racial inequality was their most important issue; slightly fewer named the coronavirus pandemic.

Voters nationally are divided about the state of the economy: Roughly half rated it negatively, with most 2 in ten who said it is "poor." About half of voters rated the economy positively, with just over one in 10 calling it "excellent." In 2016, leave polling plant 62 percent of voters rated the economy negatively, with 21 per centum rating information technology "poor" — the lowest rating available to survey takers.

The results that The Washington Mail is publishing explore demographic trends identified in national and state exit polls. These surveys randomly sample voters equally they exited voting places on or before Election Day and through a telephone survey of more than 25,000 early on voters to aid account for the huge increase of votes cast early. Poll results accept been adjusted to friction match vote tallies.

Amidst a resurgence of coronavirus cases, exit polling establish U.Southward. voters closely divided on whether U.S. efforts to contain the virus are going "well" or "badly." At the same time, roughly twice as many voters said efforts to gainsay the pandemic have gone "very badly" than say they have gone "very well."

Biden ahead amidst voters who said it was more important to contain coronavirus

Share of support among voters who said it is more important to contain the pandemic now, even if it hurts the economy

Voters were roughly divided over whether it is more than important to contain the coronavirus or rebuild the economic system, the exit poll results indicated. Virtually half of voters said it is more important to contain the pandemic now, even if information technology hurts the economy, while 4 in x said that the rebuilding the economy is more important.

Biden leads Hispanic voters nationally, but Trump closed the gap in Florida

Share of support amidst Hispanic voters

Though Biden won the Latino vote 2 to i nationally in get out polls, the surveys suggested that Trump improved his standing among Latino voters in at to the lowest degree two cardinal swing states since 2016. In both Florida and Georgia, the president increased his vote margin since his matchup with Hillary Clinton four years agone. In Florida, home to many Republican-leaning Cuban voters, Trump appeared to take pulled roughly fifty-fifty with Biden amid Latinos as a larger group. In 2016, Clinton won Florida Latinos by 27 percentage points. Though Trump trailed Biden amidst Latinos in other states, including Texas and Virginia, polling indicates that in most of the battleground states, he lost no ground from 2016 and may have fifty-fifty fabricated small gains.

Trump continues to lead among White voters who attended some higher or less

Share of support amid White voters who attended some college or less

White voters without college degrees deemed for near one-third of the electorate nationally, the surveys indicated. Trump won nigh six in ten of those voters nationally, a slight decline from his dominance with that group in 2016. The gap betwixt the president and Biden was fifty-fifty wider in Georgia, Texas, Ohio and North Carolina, a country where those Whites without higher degrees accounted for about 4 in 10 voters, the surveys found.

Women backed Biden more Trump; men split vote evenly

Share of back up amidst female person voters

The male vote separate roughly as between Biden and Trump, according to the national survey, down from an 11-point atomic number 82 that Trump had among the group in 2016. Among women, Biden led by double digits, similar to Clinton'southward lead in 2016. In a national average of October polls, women favored Biden by 23 points.

Well-nigh voters decided before September, exit polls showed

Share of support among voters who decided earlier the last week

More than 7 in x voters said they decided which candidate to support for president before September, according to exit polling. There appear to exist fewer late deciders than in 2016, when 13 percent of voters decided in the final calendar week, a group that swung in Trump'southward direction in key states. This year, with many ballots cast early on, about 1 in 20 voters say they decided who to support in the past week.

Almost three-quarters of voters nationally said their candidate's positions on the issues were more of import to their vote, as opposed to their candidate's personal qualities. Biden supporters said past almost a 2-to-i margin that bug were more important than personal qualities, and past about a 5-to-1 margin, Trump supporters said the same.

Exit polling in Pennsylvania constitute that most of the Keystone Country's voters had conviction that votes in their state will exist counted accurately. About 8 in x said they were at to the lowest degree somewhat confident in this, while roughly a 3rd said they were very confident in this.

In Northward Carolina, most ane in 10 voters identified racism equally the most of import problem facing the United states of america, according to exit polls, a share that rose to well-nigh 1 in four among Black voters in the state. The topic played very differently among those Due north Carolinians voting for Biden than amid those voting for Trump. When asked almost the nearly important issue in their vote, about iv in 10 among those backing Biden said racial inequality topped the list. For Trump voters, that issue barely registered, dwarfed by their focus on the economy.

Well-nigh 1 in x voters in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania considered racism to exist the nigh of import problem facing the country, according to exit polling. But articulate majorities — three-quarters or more than in all 3 states — considered it to be an of import problem. Biden voters in these states overwhelmingly said racism is an important trouble; more than 9 in 10 Biden voters in Exit poll results by demographic group

Candidates who won a demographic grouping by six or more than pct points are highlighted.

Sex

Men 48 % of voters

53 %

45 %

Women 52 %

42 %

57 %

Age

18-29 17 % of voters

36 %

60 %

30-44 23 %

46 %

52 %

45-64 38 %

50 %

49 %

65+ 22 %

52 %

47 %

Race

White 67 % of voters

58 %

41 %

Blackness 13 %

12 %

87 %

Hispanic / Latino xiii %

32 %

65 %

Asian four %

34 %

61 %

Other 4 %

41 %

55 %

NET Non-White 33 %

26 %

71 %

Sex past race

White men 35 % of voters

61 %

38 %

White women 32 %

55 %

44 %

Black men 4 %

19 %

79 %

Black women viii %

ix %

90 %

Hispanic / Latino men 5 %

36 %

59 %

Hispanic / Latino women eight %

xxx %

69 %

All other voters 8 %

38 %

58 %

Party self-identification

Democrats 37 % of voters

five %

94 %

Republicans 36 %

94 %

6 %

Independents / Others 26 %

41 %

54 %

Ideology

Liberal 24 % of voters

x %

89 %

Moderate 38 %

34 %

64 %

Conservative 38 %

85 %

xiv %

Education

Higher graduates 41 % of voters

43 %

55 %

Some college or less 59 %

50 %

48 %

Education by race

White college graduates 32 % of voters

48 %

51 %

White, some college or less 35 %

67 %

32 %

Non-White college graduates x %

27 %

lxx %

Not-White, some college or less 24 %

26 %

72 %

Educational activity by race by sexual activity

White women, college graduates 14 % of voters

45 %

54 %

White women, some college or less 17 %

63 %

36 %

White men, college graduates 17 %

51 %

48 %

White men, some college or less 18 %

70 %

28 %

Family income

Nether $l,000 35 % of voters

44 %

55 %

$50,000-$99,999 39 %

42 %

57 %

$100,000 or more 26 %

54 %

42 %

Organized religion

Protestant / Other Christian 43 % of voters

60 %

39 %

Catholic 25 %

47 %

52 %

Jewish 2 %

Not enough respondents to break down details

Other viii %

29 %

69 %

No organized religion 22 %

31 %

65 %

White evangelical Christians

White evangelical Christians 28 % of voters

76 %

24 %

All other voters 72 %

36 %

62 %

When did y'all determine?

Decided in the last calendar week 5 % of voters

54 %

42 %

Decided before final week 91 %

47 %

51 %

Well-nigh of import issue in your vote for president

The coronavirus pandemic 17 % of voters

15 %

81 %

The economy 35 %

83 %

17 %

Criminal offence and condom 11 %

71 %

27 %

Health-care policy 11 %

37 %

62 %

Racial inequality 20 %

seven %

92 %

Which is more of import?

Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economic system 52 % of voters

nineteen %

79 %

Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus 42 %

78 %

20 %

Methodology

These findings are from interviews of randomly selected voters as they exited voting places beyond the country on November. 3, too equally from voters exiting early voting locations. Early on voters were also reached through a telephone survey. The polls were conducted past Edison Research for the National Ballot Pool, The Washington Mail service and other media organizations. Results are weighted to friction match vote tallies past region and to correct for differential participation past subgroup. Totals may not add to 100 because of rounding. State exit polls have been finalized, while national results are preliminary and may change.

Graphics past Brittany Mayes, Leslie Shapiro and Chris Alcantara. Text by David Weigel, Scott Clement, Emily Guskin, Kevin Uhrmacher, Ann Gerhart, Claudia Deane, Alauna Safarpour and Jocelyn Kiley. Illustrations by Ben Kirchner.

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Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2020/exit-polls/presidential-election-exit-polls/

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